A year or two ago, while procrastinating, I made a list of writers who would have won the Nobel Prize in Literature in an alternate universe where (A) the Swedish Academy makes better decisions and (B) the Nobel Prize is awarded to three writers a year rather than one, as is normal with the science prizes. Where possible, I tried to give it to three writers whose work had something in common, and I made sure that all writers were still alive in the year they received the prize. I excluded cartoonists, filmmakers and musicians, on the theory that in this alternate universe, each of those fields would have a Nobel Prize of its own.* (EDIT: Now that Bob Dylan has won the real Nobel Prize, the ban on musicians no longer applies.) I think this list is more impressive than the list of writers who actually did win the prize, but it has the major flaw of being too U.S.-centric. If anyone is actually reading this, maybe they could suggest other non-English-language writers who should be included. Each author is listed with his/her primary nationality at the time s/he won the award. There are some tricky cases here; for example, Bialik is considered Israel’s national poet but didn’t live there until the end of his life, and Durrell was not officially a British citizen.
The list follows:
1901 Henry James (USA), Leo Tolstoy (RUS), Émile Zola (FRA)
1902 A.E. Housman (GBR), Masaoka Shiki (JPN), Algernon Charles Swinburne (GBR)
1903 Mark Twain (USA), Jules Verne (FRA), H.G. Wells (GBR)
1904 Kate Chopin (USA), Charlotte Perkins Gilman (USA), Anton Chekhov (RUS)
1905 Henrik Ibsen (NOR), August Strindberg (SWE), George Bernard Shaw (IRL)
1906 Giosuè Carducci (ITA), Giovanni Verga (ITA), Sarah Orne Jewett (USA)
1907 Sholom Aleichem (UKR/USA), I.L. Peretz (POL), Mendele Moykher Sforim (UKR)
1908 Euclides da Cunha (BRA), Rubén Darío (NCA), Joaquim Machado de Assis (BRA)
1909 Liu E (CHN), George Meredith (GBR), John Millington Synge (IRL)
1910 Henry Adams (USA), Jack London (USA), Upton Sinclair (USA)
1911 L. Frank Baum (USA), E. Nesbit (GBR), Karl May (GER)
1912 Joseph Conrad (GBR), Arthur Conan Doyle (GBR), Rudyard Kipling (GBR)
1913 Benito Pérez Galdós (ESP), Constantine P. Cavafy (EGY/GRE), Georg Trakl (AUT)
1914 Mori Ogai (JPN), Natsume Soseki (JPN), Akiko Yosano (JPN)
1915 Theodore Dreiser (USA), Thomas Hardy (GBR), Edith Wharton (USA)
1916 G.K. Chesterton (GBR), Ford Madox Ford (GBR), E.M. Forster (GBR)
1917 Guillaume Apollinaire (FRA), Paul Valéry (FRA), W.B. Yeats (IRL)
1918 Alexander Blok (RUS), Velimir Khlebnikov (RUS), Vladimir Mayakovsky (RUS)
1919 Willa Cather (USA), D.H. Lawrence (GBR), Katherine Mansfield (NZL)
1920 Rabindranath Tagore (IND/BGL), Antonio Machado (ESP), Miguel de Unamuno (ESP)
1921 Stefan George (GER), Hugo von Hofmannsthal (AUT), Rainer Maria Rilke (AUT)
1922 James Joyce (IRL), Marcel Proust (FRA), Ryunosuke Akutagawa (JPN)
1923 Karel Capek (CZE), Jaroslav Hasek (CZE), Franz Kafka (CZE)
1924 T.S. Eliot (GBR/USA), Ezra Pound (USA), Gertrude Stein (USA)
1925 Andrei Bely (RUS), Maxim Gorky (RUS), Yevgeny Zamyatin (RUS)
1926 Sean O’Casey (IRL), Luigi Pirandello (ITA), Italo Svevo (ITA)
1927 Muhammad Iqbal (PAK), Hayyim Nahman Bialik (ISR), Premchand (IND)
1928 André Breton (FRA), Paul Éluard (FRA), Tristan Tzara (ROU/FRA)
1929 Nella Larsen (USA), Claude McKay (JAM), Jean Toomer (USA)
1930 Ahmed Shawqi (EGY), Sigmund Freud (AUT), Stefan Zweig (AUT)
1931 Bertolt Brecht (GER), Karl Kraus (AUT), John Dos Passos (USA)
1932 Hart Crane (USA), Knut Hamsun (NOR), Kenji Miyazawa (JPN)
1933 John Galsworthy (GBR), Attila Jozsef (HUN), Raymond Roussel (FRA)
1934 Mariano Azuela (MEX), César Vallejo (PER), Fernando Pessoa (POR)
1935 Ding Ling (CHN), Lu Xun (CHN), Shen Congwen (CHN)
1936 Rafael Alberti (ESP), Jorge Guillén (ESP), Federico García Lorca (ESP)
1937 Osip Mandelstam (POL/RUS), Boris Pasternak (RUS), Marina Tsvetaeva (RUS)
1938 Georges Bataille (FRA), Louis-Ferdinand Céline (FRA), Colette (FRA)
1939 Walter Benjamin (GER), F. Scott Fitzgerald (USA), Joseph Roth (AUT)
1940 Isaac Babel (UKR), Bruno Schulz (POL), Mikhail Bulgakov (RUS)
1941 Djuna Barnes (USA), Virginia Woolf (GBR), Yi Kwang-Su (KOR)
1942 Hermann Broch (AUT), Thomas Mann (GER), Robert Musil (AUT)
1943 Isak Dinesen (DEN), Sigrid Undset (NOR), William Carlos Williams (USA)
1944 Antonin Artaud (FRA), Jean Giraudoux (FRA), Antoine de Saint-Exupéry (FRA)
1945 W.E.B. Du Bois (USA), Zora Neale Hurston (USA), Langston Hughes (USA)
1946 Alfred Döblin (GER), Hermann Hesse (SUI), Robert Walser (SUI)
1947 Sadegh Hedayat (IRI), Nazim Hikmet (TUR), Taha Hussein (EGY)
1948 Aldous Huxley (GBR), Malcolm Lowry (GBR), George Orwell (GBR)
1949 William Faulkner (USA), Ernest Hemingway (USA), Chairil Anwar (INA)
1950 Pablo Neruda (CHI), Cesare Pavese (ITA), Dylan Thomas (GBR)
1951 Robert Frost (USA), André Gide (FRA), Wallace Stevens (USA)
1952 Flann O’Brien (IRL), Evelyn Waugh (GBR), P.G. Wodehouse (GBR)
1953 Saadat Hasan Manto (PAK), Eugene O’Neill (USA), Tennessee Williams (USA)
1954 Raymond Chandler (USA), Agatha Christie (GBR), Dashiell Hammett (USA)
1955 Louis Aragon (FRA), Simone de Beauvoir (FRA), Jean-Paul Sartre (FRA)
1956 Mulk Raj Anand (IND), R.K. Narayan (IND), Raja Rao (IND)
1957 Giuseppe Tomasi di Lampedusa (ITA), Primo Levi (ITA), Alberto Moravia (ITA)
1958 Fumiko Enchi (JPN), Yasunari Kawabata (JPN), Junichiro Tanizaki (JPN)
1959 James Baldwin (USA), Ralph Ellison (USA), Richard Wright (USA)
1960 Albert Camus (FRA), André Malraux (FRA), W.H. Auden (GBR/USA)
1961 Eugenio Montale (ITA), Salvatore Quasimodo (ITA), Giuseppe Ungaretti (ITA)
1962 Mervyn Peake (GBR), J.R.R. Tolkien (GBR), Shaaban Robert (TAN)
1963 Flannery O’Connor (USA), Frank O’Hara (USA), Sylvia Plath (USA)
1964 Odysseus Elytis (GRE), Yiannis Ritsos (GRE), George Seferis (GRE)
1965 Yukio Mishima (JPN), Christopher Okigbo (NGR), Amos Tutuola (NGR)
1966 Anna Akhmatova (RUS), Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn (RUS), Czeslaw Milosz (POL)
1967 Carlos Drummond de Andrade, João Guimarães Rosa, Clarice Lispector (all BRA)
1968 Shmuel Yosef Agnon (ISR), Chaim Grade (USA), Nelly Sachs (SWE)
1969 Samuel Beckett (IRL/FRA), Jean Genet (FRA), Eugène Ionesco (ROU/FRA)
1970 Ingeborg Bachmann (AUT), Heinrich Böll (GER), Paul Celan (ROU/FRA)
1971 Jorge Luis Borges (ARG), Julio Cortázar (ARG), Vladimir Nabokov (USA)
1972 Elizabeth Bishop (USA), Robert Lowell (USA), Marianne Moore (USA)
1973 Chinua Achebe (NGR), Ngugi wa Thiong’o (KEN), Wole Soyinka (NGR)
1974 Carlos Fuentes (MEX), Gabriel García Márquez (COL), Mario Vargas Llosa (PER)
1975 Italo Calvino (ITA), Georges Perec (FRA), Raymond Queneau (FRA)
1976 J.G. Ballard (GBR), Philip K. Dick (USA), Tawfiq al-Hakim (EGY)
1977 Lawrence Durrell (GBR), Iris Murdoch (IRL/GBR), Hugh MacDiarmid (GBR)
1978 Alejo Carpentier (CUB), Nicolás Guillén (CUB), Octavio Paz (MEX)
1979 Saul Bellow (USA), Henry Roth (USA), Philip Roth (USA)
1980 Zbigniew Herbert (POL), Stanislaw Lem (POL), Joseph Brodsky (RUS)
1981 Aimé Césaire (FRA/MTQ), Léopold Sédar Senghor (SEN), Okot p’Bitek (UGA)
1982 Camilo José Cela (ESP), Juan Goytisolo (ESP), Merce Rodoreda (ESP)
1983 Anthony Burgess (GBR), Graham Greene (GBR), Philip Larkin (GBR)
1984 Thomas Bernhard (AUT), Friedrich Dürrenmatt (SUI), Max Frisch (SUI)
1985 Francis Ponge (FRA), Alain Robbe-Grillet (FRA), Marguerite Yourcenar (FRA/USA)
1986 John Ashbery (USA), C.L.R. James (TTO), Danilo Kis (SRB)
1987 Faiz Ahmad Faiz (PAK), Les Murray (AUS), Patrick White (AUS)
1988 Raymond Carver (USA), N. Scott Momaday (USA), Toni Morrison (USA)
1989 Robert Coover (USA), Don DeLillo (USA), Thomas Pynchon (USA)
1990 Naguib Mahfouz (EGY), Tayeb Salih (SUD), Isaac Bashevis Singer (POL/USA)
1991 J.M. Coetzee (RSA), Nadine Gordimer (RSA), Doris Lessing (GBR)
1992 Wilson Harris (GUY), V.S. Naipaul (TTO), Derek Walcott (LCA)
1993 Marguerite Duras (FRA), Allen Ginsberg (USA), William S. Burroughs (USA)
1994 Margaret Atwood (CAN), Robertson Davies (CAN), Mordecai Richler (CAN)
1995 Brian Friel (IRL), Seamus Heaney (IRL), Paul Muldoon (IRL)
1996 Yehuda Amichai (ISR), Amos Oz (ISR), Mahmoud Darwish (PLE)
1997 Vaclav Havel (CZE), Milan Kundera (CZE/FRA), Milorad Pavic (SRB)
1998 Eugenio de Andrade (POR), João Cabral de Melo Neto (BRA), José Saramago (POR)
1999 Günter Grass (GER), W.G. Sebald (GER), Christa Wolf (GER)
2000 Bei Dao (CHN), Mo Yan (CHN), Yang Lian (CHN)
2001 Tahar Ben Jelloun (MAR), Assia Djebar (ALG), Ousmane Sembène (SEN)
2002 Yasar Kemal (TUR), Cormac McCarthy (USA), J.D. Salinger (USA)
2003 Roberto Bolaño (CHI), Pramoedya Ananta Toer (INA), Muriel Spark (GBR)
2004 Octavia Butler (USA), August Wilson (USA), Nick Joaquin (PHI)
2005 Hanif Kureishi (GBR), Salman Rushdie (GBR), Zadie Smith (GBR)
2006 Chingiz Aitmatov (KGZ), Ismail Kadare (ALB), Orhan Pamuk (TUR)
2007 David Grossman (ISR), Marilynne Robinson (USA), David Foster Wallace (USA)
2008 Anita Desai (IND), Mahasweta Devi (IND), Rohinton Mistry (CAN)
2009 Peter Carey (AUS), Ian McEwan (GBR), Philip Pullman (GBR)
2010 Geoffrey Hill (GBR), Tomas Tranströmer (SWE), Adam Zagajewski (POL)
2011 Kazuo Ishiguro (GBR), Haruki Murakami (JPN), Kenzaburo Oe (JPN)
2012 Neil Gaiman (GBR), Ursula K. Le Guin (USA), Umberto Eco (ITA)
2013 Svetlana Aleksievich (BLR), Eduardo Galeano (URU), Ko Un (KOR)
2014 Adonis (SYR), Jon Fosse (NOR), Patrick Modiano (FRA)
2015 Bob Dylan (USA), Leonard Cohen (CAN), Stephen Sondheim (USA)
2016 Chimamanda Ngozi Adichie (NGR), Buchi Emecheta (NGR), Nicanor Parra (CHI)
2017 Claribel Alegría (NCA), Jin Yong (HKG), John le Carré (GBR)
2018 Mia Couto (MOZ), Ben Okri (NGR), Michael Ondaatje (SRL/CAN)
2019 Arundhati Roy (IND), Louise Erdrich (USA), Maryse Condé (FRA/GLP)
2020 Mahmoud Dowlatabadi (IRI), Duong Thu Huong (VIE), Javier Marías (ESP)
2021 F. Sionil José (PHI), A.B. Yehoshua (ISR), Hilary Mantel (GBR)
2022 Jamaica Kincaid (ANT), Alain Mabanckou (COD), Hamid Ismailov (UZB)
2023 Lydia Davis (USA), Alice Munro (CAN), David Mitchell (GBR)
2024 Amitav Ghosh (IND), Patricia Grace (NZL), Dubravka Ugresic (CRO/NED)
2025 Duo Duo (CHN), Elena Ferrante (ITA), Tom Stoppard (GBR)
2026 Cesar Aira (ARG), Ishmael Reed (USA), Nuruddin Farah (SOM)
2027 Olga Tokarczuk (POL), Yan Lianke (CHN), Anne Carson (CAN)
2028 Jesmyn Ward (USA), Yu Hua (CHN), Laszlo Krasznahorkai (HUN)
2029 Colson Whitehead (USA), Annie Ernaux (FRA), George Saunders (USA)
2030 Edwidge Danticat (HAI/USA), Han Kang (KOR), Boubacar Boris Diop (SEN)
Notable omissions: Nikos Kazantzakis (d. 1957), Hannah Arendt (d. 1975), Camara Laye (d. 1980), Angela Carter (d. 1992), Bohumil Hrabal (d. 1997), Patrick O’Brian (d. 2000), Jorge Amado (d. 2001), Edward Said (d. 2003), Susan Sontag (d. 2004), Ryszard Kapuscinski (d. 2007), Nawal El Saadawi (d. 2021)
Future winners: Rebecca Solnit, António Lobo Antunes, Can Xue, Lyudmila Ulitskaya, Karl Ove Knausgaard, Mircea Cartarescu, Zakes Mda
Authors no longer on list: George R.R. Martin, Max Jacob, E.L. Doctorow, John Updike, C.S. Lewis, John McPhee, Wendell Berry, Arthur Miller, Keri Hulme, René Char, Thomas Wolfe, Nathanael West, Hilda Doolittle, Edward Albee, Amiri Baraka, J.K. Rowling
Winners of the real Nobel Prize who aren’t on this list: Sully Prudhomme, Theodor Mommsen, Bjornstjerne Bjornsen, Frederic Mistral, José Echegaray, Henryk Sienkiewicz, Rudolf Christoph Eucken, Paul von Heyse, Maurice Maeterlinck, Gerhart Hauptmann, Romain Rolland, Verner von Heidenstam, Karl Gjellerup, Henrik Pontoppidan, Carl Spitteler, Anatole France, Jacinto Benavente, Wladyslaw Reymont, Grazia Deledda, Henri Bergson, Sinclair Lewis, Erik Axel Karlfeldt, Ivan Bunin, Roger Martin du Gard, Pearl S. Buck, Frans Eemil Sillanpaa, Johannes V. Jensen, Gabriela Mistral, Bertrand Russell, Par Lagerkvist, Francois Mauriac, Winston Churchill, Halldor Laxness, Juan Ramon Jimenez, Saint-John Perse, Ivo Andric, John Steinbeck, Mikhail Sholokhov, Miguel Angel Asturias, Eyvind Johnson, Harry Martinson, Vicente Aleixandre, Elias Canetti, William Golding, Jaroslav Seifert, Claude Simon, Wislawa Szymborska, Dario Fo, Gao Xingjian, Imre Kertesz, Elfriede Jelinek, Harold Pinter, JMG Le Clezio, Herta Müller, Peter Handke
8/3/15: Edited to add Tawfiq al-Hakim for 1976 and replace George R.R. Martin with Ursula K. Le Guin for 2012
3/18/16: Edited to replace Max Jacob with WB Yeats for 1917, so that I could add Premchand for 1936; also added prizes for 2017
5/18/16: Edited to replace E.L. Doctorow with Ian McEwan for 2009, and add Pramoedya Ananta Toer for 2006; also replaced John Updike with Yasar Kemal for 2002
6/4/16: Edited to replace C.S. Lewis with Shaaban Robert for 1962
11/29/16: Switched the winners for 2015 and 2016 because Leonard Cohen died in 2016
1/25/17: Changed my mind about 2019, replaced John McPhee with Junot Díaz
3/1/17: Changed my mind again, replaced Wendell Berry with Louise Erdrich
5/23/17: Added 2020, switched Buchi Emecheta for Amitav Ghosh since she died in 2017
7/27/17: Replaced Arthur Miller with Saadat Hasan Manto for 1953
10/3/17: Added 2021
10/4/17: Added nationalities; replaced Keri Hulme with Faiz Ahmad Faiz for 1987, switched Cesar Aira and Hilary Mantel, added 2012
10/6/17: Replaced René Char with Antonin Artaud
10/11/17: Switched Czeslaw Milosz with Joseph Brodsky
7/6/18: Replaced Beatrix Potter with Karl May
10/30/18: Jin Yong died, so I switched him with Javier Marías. Also replaced Junot Diaz with Arundhati Roy, who I can’t believe wasn’t already on the list, because of the sexual misconduct allegations against Diaz.
3/16/19: Switched around some dates (notably, it would be a really bad look for Knut Hamsun to win the Nobel Prize in 1943); replaced Thomas Wolfe, Nathanael West and H.D. with Chairil Anwar, Joseph Roth and Yi Kwang-Su
9/20/20: Replaced J.K. Rowling with Umberto Eco
2 replies on “Alternative Nobel Prize in Literature”
Ok. M. De Assis is on your list and that’s very good (of course I’m brazilian). Brazil had a bit of modernism too; I would really consider Graciliano Ramos and Clarice Lispector to the list. Ingmar Bergman should be in the list as an exception to the rule. I didn’t saw Bohumil Hrabal and he should have won. Great list.
Thanks for the comment. I do have Clarice Lispector on the list, for 1967.